FPI Overnight Brief: May 12, 2011
Syria
The Syrian military intensified a methodical, ferocious march across the
country’s most restive locales on Wednesday, shelling the country’s
third-largest city from tanks, forcing hundreds to flee and detaining
hundreds more in what has emerged as one of the most brutal waves of
repression since the Arab Spring began. – New York Times
Kuwait replaced Syria on Wednesday on an uncontested slate of countries
seeking seats on the United Nations’ main human rights body after an
outcry over the violent crackdown on domestic dissent by the government
of President Bashar al-Assad – New York Times
A reporter for Al Jazeera’s English-language news channel who
disappeared while covering the uprising in Syria almost two weeks ago
was sent to Iran within two days of being detained by Syrian
authorities, the network confirmed on Wednesday – New York Times
Sen. Joe Lieberman (I-Conn.) said Wednesday that the situation in Syria
is beginning to resemble the one that compelled the United States to
intervene in Libya and urged President Barack Obama to tell the Syrian
people America supports them. - Politico
Syrian activists are losing hope that pro-democracy protests will topple
the 11-year rule of President Bashar al-Assad and fear that his use of
force against protesters may crush the movement. - Reuters
Most of Iran's breaches of a U.N. arms embargo have been illegal weapons
deliveries to Syria, which Western diplomats say were to be passed on
to Lebanese and Palestinian militants, a U.N. report says. - Reuters
Josh Rogin reports: Many in Congress are getting impatient with what
they see as a lack of concrete action by the Obama administration to
condemn and punish the Syrian government for its brutal crackdown on
civilian protesters. Today, 16 senators are co-sponsoring a resolution
calling on the administration to get tough on the regime of Syrian
President Bashar al-Assad. – The Cable
John Hannah writes: As many others have lamented, the administration's
fecklessness on Syria is rapidly turning into a national disgrace. It
represents a moral and strategic failing of major proportions. If
sustained, it threatens to rival the president's tragic decision in 2009
to stand by mutely as millions of Iranians rallied to drive a stake
through the heart of a regime whose quest for nuclear weapons poses
perhaps the greatest current danger to vital U.S. interests. – Shadow Government
Elliott Abrams writes: As the days go by and the Assad regime kills more
peaceful demonstrators, U.S. policy becomes less and less possible to
comprehend, much less defend. – Pressure Points
Libya
Rebels in the contested western city of Misurata stormed the city’s
airport on Wednesday afternoon, swarming over the grounds from the south
and east and reclaiming it from the military of Col. Muammar
el-Qaddafi. – New York Times
Libyan rebel leaders arrived in Washington to press the Obama
administration Wednesday for quicker financial aid, hoping to overcome
uncertainty inside the U.S. government over how to free up assets seized
from Col. Moammar Gadhafi's government – Wall Street Journal (subscription required)
As members of the Libyan rebels’ interim government continue to press
their case for U.S. assistance in their fight against Muammar
el-Qaddafi, Sen. John Kerry, D-Mass., said he’s trying to unfreeze some
of the Libyan leader’s assets. – National Journal
Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) said Wednesday he does not believe Congress
will act before the May 20 deadline to authorize military engagement in
Libya and he does not “recognize” the constitutionality of the War
Powers Act that sets the timeline, in any case. - Politico
The House Armed Services Committee is asking the Defense Department to
turn over planning documents for allied military operations in Libya,
including records of efforts made to provide advance notification of the
operations to Congress. – Military Times
Josh Rogin reports: Secretary of State Hillary Clinton boasted last
month about the decision to start giving non-lethal aid to the Libyan
rebel army. Yesterday, the rebels got their first delivery: 10,000
packets of pre-packaged food, what the military calls Meals Ready to Eat
(MREs). – The Cable
Yemen
At least 13 people were killed and scores were wounded in the Yemeni capital on Wednesday when security forces and plainclothes government loyalists opened fire on more than 1,000 anti-government demonstrators, medical officials and witnesses said. – Washington Post
Middle East
Opposition parties say the government is systematically pressuring the
majority Shiite population, trying to turn a call for wider political
freedoms in Bahrain into a regional struggle between Sunni Arab
countries and Shiite Iran. Much of the strategy is driven by Bahrain's
dominant ally, Saudi Arabia, which fears pro-democracy movements will
upset the balance of power in the Persian Gulf. – Los Angeles Times
Bahrain's state oil company fired nearly 300 employees for taking part
in a recent pro-democracy strike and a U.S.-based human rights group
said a prominent activist appeared to have been tortured in detention. -
Reuters
Older Emiratis, who remember when their families lived in humble fishing villages, have long been content to remain politically silent as their rulers turned the coastal desert state into a business hub of gleaming skyscrapers. Yet for the first time, a younger generation is starting to question the cost of their parents' genteel quiescence. - Reuters
Iraq
Iraq’s prime minister indicated Wednesday that he might ask some U.S.
troops to stay in the country beyond a year-end deadline if most of
Iraq’s main political blocs support such a decision. – Washington Post
Iraqi parliament deputies are upset with a Kuwaiti seaport being built
that they say will make its ports superfluous and seriously damage
Iraq's international trade, RFE/RL's Radio Free Iraq (RFI) reports. - Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty
Iran
The trial of three Americans charged with espionage and illegal entry in
Iran after their arrest almost two years ago near the border with Iraqi
Kurdistan failed to resume in Tehran on Wednesday, and their Iranian
lawyer said he had formally protested the delay. – New York Times
International sanctions are “constraining” Iran’s capacity to purchase
supplies and equipment to develop nuclear and ballistic missile
technology, but Tehran continues to actively seek way to overcome the
measures, according to a new United Nations report. – Washington Post
Observers and rights groups say Iran's human rights record has taken a
sharp turn for the worse in recent months, with the hard-line government
of President Mahmud Ahmadinejad seeking to stamp out the possibility of
an Arab Spring-inspired uprising. But while activists, journalists,
bloggers, and students continue to face harassment, punishment, and even
death, U.S. officials say the government in Tehran is "fighting a
losing battle." – Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty
Iran's response to a letter from the European Union aimed at reviving
talks on Tehran's nuclear program contains nothing new and does not
appear to justify another meeting, the bloc said on Wednesday. - Reuters
Iran has received another shipment of nuclear fuel from Russia for use
at its Bushehr nuclear power plant, the Arabic-language al Alam channel
quoted an official as saying Wednesday. - Reuters
Egypt
Editorial: If democracy is to work in Egypt, it must rest on a foundation of fair and equal treatment of all citizens, regardless of faith. As the U.S. government nurtures a new political order there, it should encourage Egypt’s transitional government and the moderate majority of its people to defend the revolution against those who would tear it apart along sectarian lines. – Washington Post
Editorial: If democracy is to work in Egypt, it must rest on a foundation of fair and equal treatment of all citizens, regardless of faith. As the U.S. government nurtures a new political order there, it should encourage Egypt’s transitional government and the moderate majority of its people to defend the revolution against those who would tear it apart along sectarian lines. – Washington Post
Lebanon
Lebanese leaders have intensified efforts to form a government after nearly four months of stalemate over cabinet positions. - Reuters
Sudan
South Sudan's army launched a fresh assault on rebels in a key oil-producing state, killing more than 80, a government minister said Wednesday, in the latest violence ahead of the region's independence in July. - Reuters
Afghanistan
Senior Afghan officials say some Taliban leaders are offering
intelligence about al Qaeda to prove they are serious about peace talks
with the Afghan government. – Wall Street Journal (subscription required)
A deadly spring offensive launched by the Taliban in Afghanistan has put
the spotlight on the countrys fledgling army, which Western officials
and analysts say is being undermined by corruption, the lack of rule of
law and a weak government in Kabul. – Washington Times
Pakistan
The leader of the main opposition party called on Wednesday for an
independent inquiry into why the Pakistani Army had no knowledge of the
American raid that killed Osama bin Laden. – New York Times
President Barack Obama and other administration officials, along with
some congressional leaders, are working to tamp down passions with a
hard truth: The road to success in Afghanistan runs through Pakistan. - Politico
Russian President Dmitry Medvedev has met with his visiting Pakistani
counterpart, Asif Ali Zardari, in Moscow. - Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty
A U.S. drone aircraft fired missiles at militants in Pakistan on
Thursday, killing eight of them, Pakistani officials said, the third
such attack since U.S. forces found and killed Osama bin Laden in his
Pakistani hideout. - Reuters
Pakistan is likely to get $300 million from the United States for costs
incurred in fighting militants, officials said on Thursday, at a time
U.S. legislators have been questioning aid to Pakistan after Osama bin
Laden was found there. - Reuters
Bill Gertz reports: U.S. intelligence and security agencies are sifting
through thousands of pages of documents obtained from Osama bin Laden’s
lair in Pakistan in a hunt for links between the al Qaeda leader and
Pakistan’s ISI military intelligence service. – Inside the Ring
Analysis: The death of Osama bin Laden is unlikely to undermine the
Pakistan Taliban, despite al Qaeda's links with the militants, and it
may even embolden the fighters battling to bring the nuclear-armed state
down. - Reuters
Zalmay Khalilzad writes: It is in neither America’s interest nor
Pakistan’s for relations to become more adversarial. But Pakistan’s
strategy of being both friend and adversary is no longer acceptable.
While the killing of Bin Laden was an important success, a greater
achievement would be to transform United States-Pakistani relations into
a true partnership that fights terrorism, advances a reasonable Afghan
settlement and helps stabilize the region. – New York Times
China
A chilling tale of Chinese government officials “confiscating” babies in
villages for big profits is gripping China. The maverick newspaper
Caixin Century broke the story Monday on how local communist
“family-planning” officials, acting as thuggish goons in Hunan province
in central China, snatched more than a dozen babies, many of them first
births for families, from hapless villagers. The officials then sold the
abducted babies to state-funded “orphanages” and international adoption
agencies for $3,000 each. – Washington Times
Seventeen churches in China have appealed to China's lawmakers to
provide legal protection of religious freedom after police detained
dozens of Christians from a Beijing church that has been trying to hold
outdoor services. - Reuters
Josh Rogin reports: Following the conclusion of the U.S.-China Strategic
and Economic Dialogue this morning, senior Chinese leaders met with
several congressmen at the Capitol building to expand their
relationships with the United States beyond the executive branch. – The Cable
ICYMI, FPI Director of Democracy and Human Rights Ellen Bork writes:
Secretary Clinton’s remarks about China do not seem to reflect any
wisdom gained from the experience of the Arab spring – that stability by
dictatorial regimes is illusory, and support for that kind of stability
is counterproductive and immoral. If China’s people, no less than
Arabs, have a right to emerge from decades of repression, American
rhetoric and actions must reflect it. If there is nothing behind the
talk, then more than language will have been degraded. Washington will
be seen as weak and China and other dictatorships will be emboldened. – FPI Bulletin
Japan
Japan's government is planning to inject about $62 billion into a fund
to help Tokyo Electric Power compensate victims of the crisis at its
nuclear plant and save Asia's largest utility from financial ruin - Reuters
Japan's crippled Fukushima nuclear power plant is leaking water from the
center of the reactor seen as the closest to stabilizing, its operator
said Thursday, risking a delay in its plan to resolve the worst nuclear
disaster since Chernobyl. - Reuters
Korean Peninsula
North Korea has dismissed as "ridiculous" South Korea's hosting of an international nuclear summit next year, barely two days after the North's leader Kim Jong-il was conditionally invited to join 50 world leaders at the event in Seoul. - Reuters
Australia
The fall of the U.S. dollar is helping Australia to lop A$4.3 billion ($4 billion) from its defense spending over the next four years. – Aviation Week
Russia
Police have detained at least seven activists from the Defenders of the
Khimki Forest protest group, RFE/RL’s Russian Service reports. – Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty
Moscow will start sending new weapons to a chain of islands claimed by
both Russia and Japan later this year and complete building two military
posts there in 2012, Russia’s top general was quoted as saying May 11. -
Reuters
Belarus
An economic crisis in Belarus deepened Wednesday when its currency
plunged in value after the Central Bank lifted restrictions on the
exchange rate. – New York Times
Two more election opponents of President Alyaksandr Lukashenka have gone
on trial in Minsk over protests after December's disputed election. – Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty
Ukraine
Former Ukrainian Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko says her actions while in office were legal and that President Viktor Yanukovych has "killed Ukrainian justice," RFE/RL's Ukrainian Service reports. – Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty
Somalia
Somalia would welcome a U.S. special-forces attack on al Qaeda-affiliated militants on Somali soil, similar to the strike that killed Osama bin Laden in Pakistan, said Somali Prime Minister Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed on Wednesday. – Wall Street Journal (subscription required)
Sub-Saharan Africa
Militiamen loyal to former Ivory Coast president Laurent Gbagbo killed 120 people during a "scorched earth" retreat from Abidjan last week, the Defense Ministry said. - Reuters
The Nigerian army clashed with militants in the creeks of the Niger Delta on Wednesday, the first such skirmish for months in the heartland of Africa's biggest oil and gas industry. - Reuters
Southern Africa
It took 12 years after the end of apartheid for the Waterworks
shantytown to get running water, and 17 years for the ruling ANC to face
a voter backlash from its disenchanted residents. - Reuters
A new study in the American Journal of Public Health, published
Wednesday online, estimates that nearly two million women have been
raped in the Democratic Republic of Congo, with women victimized at a
rate of nearly one every minute. – New York Times
Uganda's main opposition leader was barred from boarding a return flight
to Uganda from the Kenyan capital Nairobi on Wednesday ahead of
Thursday's presidential swearing-in ceremony, party officials said
Wednesday. – Wall Street Journal (subscription required)
After intense international criticism, proponents of an anti-gay bill
before Uganda's parliament have removed a punitive clause that called
for hanging people who have consensual homosexual sex. – Los Angeles Times
United States of America
Less than two weeks after U.S. special operations commandos killed Osama
bin Laden, a resolution viewed as an expansion of the legal basis for
the global war on terror is moving through Congress. – Washington Times
House Republican leaders are aggressively lobbying rank-and-file GOP
lawmakers to pass a long-term extension of the Patriot Act, a Bush-era
anti-terrorism law that has already provided Republicans with an
embarrassing defeat early in their majority. - Politico
A Pakistani-born man accused of aiding militants in the 2008 Mumbai
attacks is set to go on trial in Chicago next week in a legal battle
that may worsen strained relations between the United States and
Pakistan. - Reuters
South America
Jackson Diehl writes: On June 5, a runoff election for president in the country of 29 million will offer two possibilities: Keiko Fujimori, the 35-year-old daughter of a former right-wing, authoritarian president who is imprisoned for corruption and human rights crimes; and Ollanta Humala, 48, a former coup-plotting army officer backed by the far left and allegedly financed by Venezuela’s Hugo Chavez. Either one presages political disaster for a country that has enjoyed 10 years of moderate, competent government along with South America’s highest economic growth rate. – PostPartisan
Caribbean
Humanitarian workers in Haiti are preparing for fresh cholera outbreaks as the rainy season threatens to revive an epidemic that has killed nearly 5,000 people since October, U.N. officials said Wednesday. - Reuters
Defense
Presenting a dim outlook for the future of defense spending, Gen.
Raymond Odierno, head of Joint Forces Command, warned against the folly
of "doing more with less" - an approach, he said, which would lead to a
hollow force. – Defense News
The House Appropriations Committee plans $121 billion in additional cuts
in federal programs for 2012, including an $8.9 billion reduction in
defense funding, under an apportionment of spending announced May 11. – Defense News
A House panel on Wednesday extended a helping hand to Rolls-Royce and GE
in their bid to save the F-35’s alternate engine. – The Hill
The U.S. Air Force is creating an office for its new bomber program, a
top service official said. – Defense News
Setting firm requirements and refusing to modify them along the way
contributed to the U.S. Air Force's successful awarding of the
much-watched KC-X tanker competition earlier this year, according to a
top service acquisition official. – Defense News
Boeing remains confident of bolstering its C-17 backlog with additional
international sales on top of the expected order from India, despite the
challenges of maintaining unit cost in the face of reduced production
rates, possible gaps in the delivery stream and no new U.S. Air Force
orders. – Aviation Week
As they marked up next year's defense authorization bill, members of the
U.S. House Armed Services Committee moved hundreds of millions of
dollars out of the "Mission Force Enhancement Transfer Fund" and put it
toward new and existing programs in the defense budget… The Mission
Force Enhancement Transfer Fund serves as the pot of money that members
can use to offset their legislative adds. – Defense News
The U.S. House Armed Services Committee is concerned that that the U.S.
Army may try to close its Research Development and Engineering Command
(RDECOM). – Defense News
The War
Osama bin Laden was preoccupied with attacking the United States over
all other targets, a fixation that led to friction with followers,
according to U.S. intelligence officials involved in analyzing the trove
of materials recovered from the al-Qaeda leader’s compound. – Washington Post
Tracking terrorist messaging systems and clandestine couriers became a
critical U.S. intelligence mission years before an al Qaeda courier led
U.S. special operations forces to Osama bin Laden’s hide-out in
Pakistan. – Washington Times
The Pentagon is considering allowing the families of detainees at
Guantanamo Bay, Cuba, to visit them, an unprecedented step to ease the
isolation of inmates who in some cases have been held at the U.S.
facility for close to a decade, according to congressional aides. – Washington Post
Sen. John McCain writes: All of these arguments have the force of right,
but they are beside the most important point. Ultimately, this is more
than a utilitarian debate. This is a moral debate. It is about who we
are. I don’t mourn the loss of any terrorist’s life. What I do mourn is
what we lose when by official policy or official neglect we confuse or
encourage those who fight this war for us to forget that best sense of
ourselves. Through the violence, chaos and heartache of war, through
deprivation and cruelty and loss, we are always Americans, and
different, stronger and better than those who would destroy us. – Washington Post
Obama Administration
For President Obama, the killing of Osama bin Laden is more than a milestone in America’s decade-long battle against terrorism. It is a chance to recast his response to the upheaval in the Arab world after a frustrating stretch in which the stalemate in Libya, the murky power struggle in Yemen and the brutal crackdown in Syria have dimmed the glow of the Egyptian revolution. – New York Times
Ideas
Elbridge Colby writes: Yet the commendable U.S. decision to go after bin Ladin – in an operation that involved inserting forces right into the middle of a nuclear-armed country and with full knowledge of the possibility that there could be shooting between U.S. and Pakistani forces – shows that nuclear weapons do not provide blanket protection for all manner of evils. – Real Clear World’s The Compass
United Kingdom
The British military is no longer a "full-spectrum" force in the
aftermath of aggressive budget cuts, and has at times been "stretched"
by commitments to operations over Libya, the heads of the U.K.'s three
armed services said on Wednesday. – Wall Street Journal (subscription required)
The head of the Royal Navy says retaining Britain's carrier strike
capability would have been top of his "wish list" if the recent
strategic defense and security review were to be rewritten. – Defense News
Overnight Brief
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