Oceania

Australia recently blocked several export shipments to Iran because of concern the cargo may have been destined for Tehran's nuclear weapons programs, Prime Minister Kevin Rudd said Thursday. The bans were ordered by the defense minister under laws aimed at preventing the proliferation of material that could be used in weapons of mass destruction.   Mr. Rudd declined to say what the material in the shipments was, or give details about when they were blocked.  The Australian newspaper first reported the blocked shipments and said one of them was understood to include pumps that could have been used to cool nuclear power plants. The report said there were up to three other shipments - one more than Mr. Rudd mentioned - but that no details were known about them. – Associated Press

Support for Australia's Prime Minister Kevin Rudd has fallen as conservative opponents rally behind a new leader, a leading opinion survey showed on Tuesday, but he remains well-placed to win an election later this year. The closely-watched Newspoll in the Australian newspaper showed support for Rudd's centre-left Labor had slipped two points to 54% in the two-party terms that decide elections, while the conservatives were up by the same margin to 46%. – TNVZ

Franklin Miller and Andrew Shearer write:  Talk of nuclear disarmament is making a serious comeback. Just in the past week, President Obama received a Nobel Peace Prize for his work on the issue, and now yet another blue-ribbon commission—this one co-chaired by former foreign ministers of Japan and Australia—has issued a high-profile report calling for disarmament. The goal, of course, is superficially appealing and may even be achievable some day. But the United States, Australia, Japan and America's other Asian allies would be well advised to think twice before embracing the report… Capping U.S. and Russian arsenals at 500 warheads is unrealistic given today's world. An unequivocal "no first use" declaration would weaken American deterrence. And the recommendation that the Proliferation Security Initiative, currently a coalition of the willing to interdict nuclear shipments, be folded into the United Nations is a surefire way to neuter a su ccessful tool. – Wall Street Journal Asia

Australia's prime minister threatened legal action against Japan on Friday if it does not stop its research whaling program that kills up to 1,000 whales a year. Prime Minister Kevin Rudd's comments came as the Australian Broadcasting Corp. quoted Japanese Foreign Minister Katsuya Okada as saying in an interview that Japan has no plans to halt its killing of whales in the Antarctic. "We don't accept Japan's premise for those terms of so-called scientific whaling," Rudd told Australia's Fairfax Radio Network. "If we cannot resolve this matter diplomatically, we will take international legal action. I've said that before — I'm serious about it." – The AP

Brahma Chellaney writes: “Paradoxically, Rudd, having nixed the Quadrilateral Initiative, has come full circle implicitly by plugging the only missing link in that quad — an Australia-India security agreement. With the Indo-Australian accord, quadrilateral strategic cooperation among the four major democracies in the Asia-Pacific region — Australia, India, Japan and the U.S. — is set to take off without the aid of an institutional mechanism like the Quadrilateral Initiative. Such cooperation, of course, is intended to be in a bilateral framework. But the bilateral cooperation inexorably will help lay the foundation for greater cooperation and coordination at trilateral and quadrilateral levels among these four powers.” – Japan Times

“Australia is becoming China's mine shaft and its pantry, and that didn't just spare Australia from the grip of the global recession, which crumpled so many other developed countries: It changed the relationship between China and Australia, one of the United States' most loyal allies. ‘The global financial crisis has confirmed we are economically dependent on China, not the U.S.,’ Carr said Monday at the Macquarie Asia-Pacific Infrastructure & Transportation Conference in Hong Kong. In many ways, the mutual dependency that Australia and China now share is far healthier than the codependency between the U.S. and China. The Australia-China trade enlarges the economic pie for both nations.” – Forbes

Editorial: “As the Copenhagen conference commences, in Perth they are celebrating a $90 billion deal to sell natural gas to Japan from the Wheatstone field, off the Pilbara coast. It is the newest of a list of developments that are establishing the city as a global energy hub, the capital of a state destined for decades of growth as Asian energy demand intensifies. And while environmentalists are appalled at the way West Australian LNG will fuel greenhouse-gas-producing industry and power airconditioners in homes from Beijing to Bunbury, Kyoto to Kalgoorlie, what they ignore is that Australia's future and those of our trading partners is dependent on minerals and energy exports.” – The Australian

Australia's plans for an emissions trading system to combat global warming were scuttled Wednesday in Parliament, handing a defeat to a government that had hoped to set an example at international climate change talks next week. The Senate, where Prime Minister Kevin Rudd's government does not hold a majority, rejected his administration's proposal for Australia to become one of the first countries to install a so-called cap-and-trade system to slash the amount of heat-trapping pollution that industries pump into the air. – The AP

The global revolt keeps building against carbon cap and trade, not that you'd know it from the U.S. media. First the U.S. Senate postpones its bill, next countries meeting in Copenhagen this month can't agree on emissions cuts, then emails among climate scientists reveal rigged peer-review, and now comes a political uprising in Australia that may doom a carbon tax down under. Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd has made a sweeping cap-and-trade bill the centerpiece of his legislative agenda, and for two years his climate alarmism has gone almost unchallenged. The conservative Liberal Party, which embraced a cap-and-tax scheme before losing the 2007 election, first said it would oppose any legislation that hurt the economy. Then last week, under then-party leader Malcolm Turnbull, the Liberals threw in with Mr. Rudd and agreed to carve out as many handouts as possible for big business. Given that Australia accounts for only 1.5% of global emissions, the bill would pile on economic costs with no environmental benefit. The conservative wing of the party revolted on Thursday, with six MPs stepping down from the front bench in protest—an unprecedented event in the Liberal Party's more than 50-year history. And yesterday the party ousted Mr. Turnbull as party leader in favor of Tony Abbott, an MP from Sydney. Mr. Abbott has spared no time in setting out his views. Yesterday he called cap and trade "a great big tax to create a great big slush fund to provide politicized handouts, run by giant bureaucracy." – Wall Street Journal

Greg Sheridan writes: “Rudd is committed to the US alliance as the bedrock of Australian security, a force for good in the world and a substantial part of Australia's international orientation. He is also strongly committed to getting the most out of the China relationship, especially economically, for Australia. But at the same time he is wary about China's intentions. He works hard to make the relationship productive and he is prepared to argue parts of China's case internationally. But he is not scared to criticise China over human rights or to defend Australia's interests in an argument with China over, say, foreign investment. Significantly, Rudd also recognises the power and importance of other Asian powers, especially Japan and India.” – The Australian