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New START needs to be fixed, says FPI Director Eric Edelman and Dr. Robert Joseph
August 2, 2010 | National Review Online
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Earlier this
month, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney raised a number of
questions about the wisdom of the New START treaty in a Washington
Post op-ed. In response, the treaty’s proponents unfortunately shed
more heat than light on the matter, attacking Romney personally for
raising “hyperbolic” and “discredited” objections, for “politicizing”
the arms-control process, and, of course, for being ill-informed. (A
notable exception was the response by Steve Pifer and Strobe Talbott,
which acknowledged the issues Romney raised and sought to refute them
without resorting to, well, hyperbole.)
These same proponents
have repeatedly cited support for the treaty from former senior
officials in Republican administrations, such as James Schlesinger,
Henry Kissinger, and Stephen Hadley, in an effort to discredit or
marginalize Romney. But while these officials support the treaty,
Schlesinger, Kissinger, and Hadley have all raised serious questions,
including questions about its limitations on missile defenses and future
conventional prompt-global-strike
(PGS) capabilities. All expressed concern about the
linkage between strategic offensive systems and missile defenses that
the treaty reestablishes. Secretary Kissinger, for example, stated that
he would “have preferred to avoid prohibiting the use of missile
launching sites for strategic defense as unnecessarily limiting
strategic options of a future president.” Other witnesses have testified
that the treaty contains ambiguities that would permit conflicting
interpretations regarding the definition and accountability of
rail-mobile intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), and that the
treaty has shortcomings on verification and transparency more broadly.
Moreover,
had some of the Romney critics attended the Senate Foreign Relations
Committee hearing on June 24, they would have heard the authors — both
career government civil servants — raise all of the above-mentioned
issues, as well as the modernization issues that were addressed in the
report of the Strategic Posture Commission. In addition, they expressed
worries about the future viability of a resilient triad of nuclear
forces (ICBMs, submarine-launched ballistic missiles, and Bombers) under
the treaty’s relatively low launcher limit — a limit that will require
the U.S., but not Russia, to dismantle launchers.
We continue to
believe that these serious issues must be addressed in a thorough
deliberative process — like those that accompanied INF, START I and II,
and the 2002 Moscow Treaty — rather than dismissed as political
partisanship.
There are clear and straightforward ways to deal
with most of the concerns that have been raised by Romney and other
treaty critics. As a first step, the administration should provide the
treaty’s negotiating record on the key points of contention. This will
allow the Senate to judge the intent of the parties and to understand
better the reasons the treaty emerged as it did. It will also help the
Senate in crafting an instrument of ratification that protects future
U.S. security needs. For instance, if the rail-mobile-ICBM loophole is
as minor a question as proponents claim, it can easily be resolved by
either joint statements (by the U.S. and Russian governments) or a
unilateral Russian statement that they agree that any new rail-mobile
systems will be accountable under the treaty. This would seem especially
necessary given press accounts that the State Department’s report on
Russia’s compliance with the previous version of START, recently
delivered to the Senate, suggest some disputes about treaty violations
that remained unresolved at the time the treaty expired in December
2009.
Similarly, the Senate can make clear that it rejects any
interpretation of the treaty that would further limit U.S. missile
defenses and that, in future arms agreements, missile defenses and
conventionally armed strategic weapons will not be constrained. Finally,
as Senator Kyl has made clear, the administration’s commitment to
modernization of the nuclear force and follow-on platforms (like the
air-launched cruise missile for B-52H bombers) must be made manifest in
appropriations and the FY 2012 budget.
Up until now, perhaps out
of fear of the Russian reaction, the administration and its supporters
in the Senate have been unwilling to acknowledge that there are any
problems with the treaty and have been totally resistant to any fixes — a
position that seems very difficult to square with the Senate’s
constitutional responsibilities in treaty-making. The fixes we have
identified are straightforward, logical, and easy to understand. They
are also needed to protect U.S. security. The Senate must be more than a
rubber stamp if U.S. interests are to be protected.
- Originally written for National Review Online
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