FPI Director of Democracy and Human Rights Ellen Bork: What I Saw While Afghanistan Voted
The day before the August 20 elections in
Afghanistan, Ghazni Province Governor Osman Osmani’s prediction of an
80 percent voter turnout in his region seemed dubious. Considering the
deteriorating security situation and Taliban threats against voters, an
80 percent turnout would be a sign of fraud, not voter enthusiasm.
Yet
preparations were obviously being made for a “high turnout,” if not an
honest one. According to one analysis, Ghazni had registered 50 percent
more voters than was credible. This week, the country’s Electoral
Complaints Commission threw out ballots from 27 polling stations in
Ghazni Province and ordered recounts at other stations.
My
colleague, Steve, and I arrived from Kabul via Blackhawk helicopter to
observe the election a couple of days before the vote. The new ring
road linking the capital to the south was not safe enough to drive. In
Ghazni, we were based with a Provincial Reconstruction Team (PRT) run
by the Poles and the Americans.
The plan was for us to
coordinate with U.S. officials to monitor the voting. As it turned out,
they don’t travel without a military escort and, under election rules,
military vehicles couldn’t go near the polling stations, where security
was handled by the police. (Obviously, the Taliban don’t observe this
prohibition.)
Meetings In Body Armor
We
went to our meeting with the governor in body armor, escorted by
impressive gentlemen from the U.S. military to the nearby OCC-P, the
fortified coordination point for international coalition forces and the
Afghan Army and police. Probably it was considered too dangerous to
call on the governor at his office. Seeing as he’d survived three
assassination attempts, including one when a suicide bomber flung
himself across the windshield of a decoy car in the governor’s convoy,
I thought this was a good call.
While waiting for the
governor, we were told that one of his deputies, a district official,
had raped a woman. According to the story, her husband then turned her
over to the Taliban for indecency, or whatever it’s called, and they
killed her. Initially suspended, the official was reappointed to his
post. Hearing this, our Afghan interpreter announced his intention to
emigrate and left the room in disgust.
Governor Osmani swept
in with his entourage and shook everyone’s hand, including mine. In my
opinion, Westerners worry way too much about whether Afghan men shake a
woman’s hand or not. I don’t shake unless they offer. Sometimes they
do. Once, a warlord put out his hand, and I shook it. Maybe I shouldn’t
have.
The governor sat at one end of the prefab paneled room
darkened against the sun by curtains the colors of the Afghan flag --
black, red, and green. He seemed a little harried under the
circumstances, but smooth and charismatic. Things were going reasonably
well, the governor said in good English. Considering the country was at
war. True, he conceded, some election officials had abandoned their
posts. In Nawa district on the Pakistan end of the province, there
wouldn’t be any voting at all. Some election materials still hadn’t
made it to the polling stations. He offered what may have been an
Afghan proverb: “Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.”
While
we couldn’t actually go to the polls, there was a lot of
election-related action at the PRT. At the request of the Afghans, the
PRT was working almost around the clock preparing the elections in
remote and violent parts of the province. Steve and I flew by
helicopter to a nearby district, to drop off election workers,
cardboard voting booths, ballots, and ballot boxes.
I spent
election day in the PRT’s Tactical Operations Center (TOC), reading
news stories on my Blackberry, watching the feed from the aerostat, a
blimp sending images of the area around the base, and getting reports
from the OCC-P, where Steve was. My log of events begins:
07:05: Boom - FOB Vulcan [one of the Polish forward operating bases] rocketed.
07:24: Five rockets near Khogyani district (5:30 a.m.); three near district center.
07:26: Report of attacks on Rashidan district center. Request for air support.
07:40: Afghan military/police convoy of election materials attacked in Gelan district.
Midmorning, “The Wall Street Journal” reported two people had been lynched for voting in Kandahar.
Around
then, someone came into the TOC wearing body armor and a helmet and
said the security level was Dress Code 2. There was disagreement over
whether Dress Code 2 meant helmets or no helmets indoors, but I put on
my vest, which easily weighed 30 pounds, and sat back down.
Taking Cover
The
day went on like that with reports of improvised explosive devices,
raids on polling centers, and rocket attacks on Ghazni City. At the
PRT, we only had to take cover in a bunker twice. A public address
system had only just been set up, and the announcements were in Polish
so no one knew if the siren was the signal to take cover or the “all
clear.”
After a while, hearing no more explosions, people
wandered out. At about 11 o’clock that night, someone ran down the
hallway outside our rooms, calling for volunteers to help unload Afghan
Army wounded coming in from an attack in one of the rougher districts.
The number of casualties expected kept changing, and the arrivals were
delayed because the evacuation helicopters had trouble getting into the
landing zone to pick them up. Only a few soldiers came in and
fortunately most could walk, but later on we learned the next group
included a fatality.
A couple of days later, while we waited
for our helicopter back to Kabul, we heard an explosion and saw a dust
cloud on the other side of the airstrip. A contractor in a makeshift
office had fortunately decided to visit the men’s room. When he came
back, there was a neat hole in the back of his chair.
Expectations
for the Afghan elections were less than modest. Even a low turnout
would have been acceptable since, the thinking went, the Pashtun areas,
which were most dangerous, would probably support Karzai anyway. But a
very low turnout, estimated at 10 to 15 percent, combined with massive
fraud and apparent official collusion, upset plans to build on a Karzai
victory by drawing his rivals into government.
Still, I resist the temptation some feel to minimize the problems with the August vote.
“I
am an American who lived through an imperfect election eight years
ago,” U.S. envoy Richard Holbrooke said in July, apparently referring
to the 2008 U.S. presidential election. “I am not going to hold
Afghanistan to standards which even the United States does not achieve.”
For
my part, I think it would be a good thing if Afghanistan’s people
waited peacefully for nearly six weeks while its supreme court settled
the outcome of a contested election by ruling on the constitutionality
of voting procedures in a decisive province.
The analyst Martine van Biljert called someone in Ghazni on the telephone. "How did the election go in Ghazni? Or how did it not
go?” she asked him. He laughed. "No, no, there was an election. It took
place in the governor's guesthouse, and in the compounds of the
district governors, and in several houses. It's still ongoing."
Someone should have told the 10 to 15 percent who risked their lives by going to polling stations.
Ellen
Bork is director of democracy and human rights at the Foreign Policy
Initiative. The views expressed in this commentary are the author's
own and do not necessarily reflect those of RFE/RL.
SIGN UP
Sign up to receive FPI emails, including the FPI Overnight Brief, a concise daily compendium of essential foreign policy information and analysis.
Featured Video
Follow FPI
FPI is Reading
AfPak Channel on Foreign Policy
AsiaEye from Project 2049
Breitbart
AEI Center for Defense Studies
Contentions
Critical Threats Project from AEI
Democracy Digest Bulletin
Drudge Report
The Enterprise Blog
The Foundry
Foreign Affairs
Institute for the Study of War
Josh Rogin’s The Cable
Long War Journal
The Majlis
Mike Allen’s Playbook
National Review’s The Corner
The New Republic's Entanglements
One Free Korea
Policy Review
Politico’s Arena
Project on Middle East Democracy
RFE/RL’s blogs
RealClearPolitics
RealClearWorld
Laura Rozen on Foreign Policy
Shadow Government
Small Wars Journal
Wall Street Journal’s Opinion Journal
Washington Post PostPartisan
Weekly Standard
World Affairs